The wiki's Malik Willis page explains the QB20-with-top-12-upside argument directly. Here's the core of it:
The floor (QB20): Willis is a bridge QB in a "Year Zero" rebuild. Miami has the worst receiver corps in recent memory after trading Waddle and releasing Hill — ESPN's Bill Barnwell called it "the worst receiving corps I've seen assembled on purpose." Willis also played just 302 snaps in a sheltered, run-heavy Packers role, so we don't have a big sample of him as a full-time passer.
The upside (top-12): His legs. Since 2014, 91% of QBs with 100+ rushing attempts finished as top-12 fantasy scorers (from the Malik Willis page). Willis averaged 12-174-3 rushing across three 2025 starts and had a 134.6 passer rating in limited Packers action. Under OC Bobby Slowik's run-heavy Shanahan system, he'll have designed QB runs plus scramble lanes, and De'Von Achane gives him an explosive safety valve.
Add it up: a QB21 ADP (late-round dart) with a proven path to top-12 production if his rushing floor materializes. That's exactly the kind of risk/reward split that drives rankings like SportsLine's.
Want me to pull expert takes on Willis from the video transcripts?