Great question — and it's not even hypothetical anymore! A.J. Brown was traded to the Patriots on June 1, 2026, so we're already in the "without A.J. Brown" reality for the Eagles.
Yes, Goedert's stock rises significantly. Here's why:
- Vacated targets: Brown commanded 121 targets in 2025, and Goedert is now the Eagles' largest receiving threat (from the Dallas Goedert page, citing SI).
- ADP value: Goedert is going at TE #15 (pick #136 overall) — Sports Illustrated calls this a major value play, especially with the Eagles having the 4th easiest schedule for tight ends in 2026 (from the Dallas Goedert page).
- Top-5 ceiling: FantasyPros lists him as one of four "TE2s with top-5 potential." His last season without Brown? A career-best 830 yards and 14.8 YPR (from the Dallas Goedert page).
- Career year in 2025: He posted 11 TDs and 60 receptions — that TD rate is tough to repeat, but he's been a TE1 in six straight seasons.
One wrinkle: New OC Sean Mannion runs a Shanahan-style West Coast system that distributes targets more evenly, and rookie Eli Stowers (2nd-round pick) could steal some receiving snaps. But the Eagles' TE room is Goedert's to lead.
On Fantasy Points Fantasy Football, they put it simply: "Tight end 15 ADP is just disrespectful for this guy. As far as technical values go, I think he's the safest bet in this passing offense." —
Bottom line: Goedert is a screaming value at his current ADP. He's arguably the safest bet in the Eagles' passing game and a prime candidate to outperform his draft cost.