Based on the wiki, Caleb Williams' completion percentage absolutely should improve in year two under Ben Johnson — but there are some real headwinds to keep in mind.
The case for improvement:
- Williams posted a 58.1% completion rate in 2025, 5th-worst among 42 qualified QBs — basically nowhere to go but up (from the Caleb Williams page)
- For the first time in his NFL career, he'll have the same head coach and play-caller in back-to-back years, eliminating the annual reset in learning new terminology (from the Caleb Williams page)
- Johnson's 2026 playbook will be tailored more specifically to Williams' skillset — built around his mobility rather than a Jared Goff-style pocket approach (from the Caleb Williams page)
- The Bears are reportedly focusing on efficiency over hero-ball, which should yield fewer bad throws and miscommunications with receivers (from the Caleb Williams page)
The counterpoints:
- Chicago faces the toughest strength of schedule in the NFL in 2026 (opponents had a .550 win% in 2025) (from the Caleb Williams page)
- DJ Moore was traded to Buffalo, and the receiving corps is reconfigured with a rookie TE (Colston Loveland) leading the team in catches last year — timing with new faces takes time (from the Caleb Williams page)
What the experts say:
Flock Fantasy called that 58% "horrible" but notes it's partly because Williams is taking deep shots downfield. Josh & Hayden on Underdog pointed out he "looked a lot better and more comfortable" in December and the playoffs than early in the season — suggesting a late-year trajectory that carries into 2026. Fantasy Football Today echoed that optimism: "Hopefully Caleb Williams takes a step in his second year with Ben Johnson. I think it's possible if they just really concentrate this target share" [].
Bottom line: A jump from 58.1% to the low-60s is very realistic given the coaching continuity and scheme refinement. A leap to 65%+ would require the new weapons to gel quickly against a brutal schedule.