Good question — the short answer is he almost certainly will be suspended, but the length is still very much up in the air. Here's what the wiki says (from the Brendan Sorsby page):
- Precedent isn't pretty: Terrelle Pryor got a 5-game suspension in 2011 for circumventing his NCAA ban via the supplemental draft. Calvin Ridley got a full year for betting on NFL games — and Sorsby bet on his own college team, including QB passing yards and first-half scoring.
- Executives are bracing for significant time: One NFC exec told Yahoo: "I don't know how you do less given he bet on his own team." The realistic range the wiki lays out is 4–8 games, with some believing a full Ridley-length year is possible.
- Timeline matters: The supplemental draft is in July, so any suspension would likely be served mostly in 2026, with Sorsby potentially seeing meaningful snaps in 2027.
Bottom line: Yes, Goodell is expected to suspend him — the only open question is how many games. The betting on his own team makes a light penalty very unlikely. If you're asking for fantasy purposes, he'd be a stash candidate at best for 2026, not a guy you'd rely on.